Monday, February 22, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – February 2021


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During January, the entire islands received less rainfall. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 20% in the Northern islands by 33%.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from February-March 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean surfaces by the Maldives.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, January 18, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – January 2021

 


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During December, the northern and central islands received above normal rainfall while the southern islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 10% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from January-March 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean surfaces by the Maldives.




Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, December 28, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During November, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the northern and central islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 14% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from November anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from November-February 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, November 23, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During October, the central islands received above-normal rainfall while the northern and Southern islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands by 33%.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from November anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from November-February 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – October 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:  During September, the northern and central islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands by 33%. 
The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 0 above normal. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across the Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.
 


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2020


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:  During September, the northern islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 50% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

 The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 0 above normal. 


Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.
 



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, August 31, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – August 2020


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During August, the whole country received normal rainfall for the season. During the last 365 days, Northern islands: Excess of 400 mm from 1300 mm cumulative precipitation average.

Central islands: Excess of 400 mm from 1700 mm cumulative precipitation average

Southern islands: Excess of 350 mm from 1800 mm cumulative precipitation average.

The sea surface temperature around the Maldives is 10 C above average. 


Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in southern, central and northern islands on 29th August; up to 40 mm of rainfall in southern and northern island on 30th August; up to 40 mm of rainfall in northern islands on 31st August, up to 40 mm of rainfall in northern, central and southern islands during 1st -2nd September. 

 



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI