Wednesday, May 29, 2024

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – May 2024


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In April, the central islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall; southern and northern islands have received less than 15 mm of rainfall. North-easterly winds prevailed for the northern and central islands and South-westerly winds for the southern islands during the month of April. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely in the next month. La Niña may develop in June-August 2024 (49% chance) or July-September (69% chance). Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet condition for the northern islands and dry condition for the southern islands from June to August 2024.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, April 29, 2024

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – April 2024


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In March, the Maldives has received less than 5 mm of rainfall. North-easterly winds prevailed for the northern and central islands during the month of March. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with the odds of La Niña developing by June-August 2024. Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet condition for the Maldives from May to July 2024.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Thursday, March 28, 2024

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – March 2024

                       

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In February, central islands received up to 15 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of January over the Maldives. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with increasing odds of La Niña developing in June-August. Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet condition for the Maldives from April to June 2024.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Thursday, February 29, 2024

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – February 2024

                      

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In January, central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of January over the northern and central islands of MV. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with increasing odds of La Niña developing in June-August. Seasonal climate predictions predict a dry condition in the southern islands and a near-normal tendency for the remaining islands from March to May 2024.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, January 29, 2024

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – January 2024

                     

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In December, central and southern islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of December over the northern islands of MV. 

Predictions: Continuation of the El Niño condition can be expected until March 2024 and shall weaken to ENSO-neutral thereafter. Seasonal climate predictions predict a near-normal tendency for the entire Maldives from February to April 2024.


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Sunday, December 31, 2023

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2023

                    

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In November, some of the northern and central islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. South-easterly winds prevailed during the month of November over the southern islands of MV. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire Maldives from January to March 2024.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, December 1, 2023

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2023

                   

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In September, northern islands and some of the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the northern and central islands; and dry tendency for the southern islands from December to February 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI