Tuesday, August 24, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – August 2021



HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During July, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the central and northern islands received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 10% in the Northern islands; 20% in the Southern islands and deficit by 15% in the Central islands.

Predictions: With ENSO-neutral conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from September-November 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, July 27, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – July 2021

 


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During July, the entire Maldives islands received less rainfall from climatology. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 29% in the Northern islands; 11% in the southern islands and deficit by 9% in the Central islands.

Predictions: With ENSO-neutral conditions established; wet conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from August - October 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, June 28, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – June 2021

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During May, the entire Maldives islands received Deficits from climatology. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 32% in the Northern islands; 10% in the southern islands and a deficit by 12% in the Central islands.

Predictions: With ENSO-neutral conditions established; wet conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from July - September 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, May 24, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – May 2021

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:During April, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the central and northern islands received less. Tropical Cyclone ‘Tauktae’ originated near the northern Maldives on May 10 with wind speeds of up to 170km/h - 185km/h (according to IMD at its peak). It tracked along the Western coast of India until it made landfall in Gujarat on the 15th May. This led to extreme rainfall over northern and central parts of the Maldives from 10th to -15th of May due to the long-range.

Predictions:With Enso neutral conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from June -August 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological.The Deep Depression over the East-central Bay of Bengal intensified into Cyclonic Storm ‘Yaas’ and heads towards the north Odisha-West Bengal coast at a speed of 155 km/h to 165 km/h, gusting to 185 km/h on May 26. There could be long range impacts on the Maldives.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – April 2021

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During March, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the central and northern islands received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 29% in the Northern islands; by 21% in the southern islands; and deficit by 4% in the Central islands.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from April-June 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean surfaces by the Maldives.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, March 22, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – March 2021

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During February, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the central and northern islands received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands; deficit by 15% in the Central islands and the southern islands are close to normal.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from April-June 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean surfaces by the Maldives.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, February 22, 2021

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – February 2021


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During January, the entire islands received less rainfall. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 20% in the Northern islands by 33%.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions established; dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from February-March 2021. The seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean surfaces by the Maldives.



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI