Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – January 2017


Monitored: During January, southern islands received up to 150 mm below average rainfall while some of central islands received up to 120 mm below average rainfall. When the cumulative rainfall over the last 365 days is considered, the Northern Islands have a deficit by 400 mm compared to the average annual cumulative rainfall since 2003 of 1500 mm. During the last week of January, the rainfall in northern and central islands increased. The sea surface temperature around southern Maldives is nearly neutral to up to 0.5 0C below the seasonal average. 

Predictions: IRI seasonal prediction predicts above average rainfall for southern islands rainfall until April. El Nino prediction models suggest of weak La Niña conditions as the Pacific SST anomaly is close to -0.5 C. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations do not anticipate heavy rainfall in the next week.

Southern islands received 180 mm below average rain in January.

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI