Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – July 2019


Monitored: During July, southern parts of the country received rainfall below than is normal for the season by more than 50 mm; and central and southern islands received normal rainfall. The northern islands recorded the second-highest rainfall for the period in the past six years. The Southern Islands have an excess of 500 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Northern Islands are having a deficit of 400 mm and Central islands a deficit of 100 mm. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of daily rainfall in the entire country during August 4th - 6th. On the 7th and 8th, rainfall up to 20 mm is expected in the northern islands and up to 10 mm in the rest of the country.  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country next week.

Weekly Rainfall Forecast by IMD GFS daily

 Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI