Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – June 2018


Monitored: During June, Southern, Central and some Northern Islands received an excess of rainfall than is normal for the season by up to 120 mm. However, the Northern Islands which had been having a rainfall deficit in the last year is not fully recovered from the below normal rainfall.  The Central Islands have a 100 mm of deficit of rainfall while the Southern Islands are having a good year.   The sea surface temperature around Maldives is near normal with seas around Southern Islands seeing an anomaly of 0.5 0C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of daily rain is expected in northern islands; up to 20 mm in central islands; and up to 10 mm in the southern islands on July 11th. Up to 40 mm of daily rainfall is expected in the southern islands on the 15th and 16th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the northern islands during July 9th -14th. 
Central islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall in June. 

 Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI