Tuesday, February 5, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – January 2019


Monitored: During January, northern and central islands received rainfall slightly below than is normal for the season; and southern islands received above than normal. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit of 450 mm in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  The Central Islands also have an deficit of 50 mm, while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 350 mm. The sea surface temperature around southern Maldives was 0.5 0C above normal.  

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the northern islands on February 4th. On the 5th and 6th daily rainfall up to 10 mm is expected in the entire country. On the 7th and 8th, daily rainfall up to 20 mm of is expected in the northern islands; and up to 10 mm in central and southern islands. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the whole country next week.    

In January, the southern islands received up to 210 mm of total rainfall

 Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI