Thursday, October 29, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – October 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:  During September, the northern and central islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands by 33%. 
The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 0 above normal. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across the Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.
 


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2020


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:  During September, the northern islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 50% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

 The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 0 above normal. 


Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.
 



Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI