Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – December 2017


Monitored: During December, the Northern and Central islands received below average rainfall and Southern islands received above average rainfall. The cumulative rainfall deficit over the last year compared to the average annual cumulative rainfalls since 2003 has been increased to 20% in the Northern and to 7% in the Central Islands. The Northern Islands have a deficit by 150 mm; and the central islands by 100 mm in December. Also, Southern islands have a surplus of 200 mm.
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 0C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the northern islands on the 12th and up to 10 mm in the northern and central islands during 7-9. El Nino prediction models suggest of ENSO-neutral conditions for the coming months. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the whole country next week.   

Southern islands received up to 400 mm of total rainfall in December

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI