Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – August 2017

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During August, northern and central islands received below average rainfall; and many of the southern islands received average rainfall. The cumulative rainfall deficit over the last year has been decreased to 13% in the Northern and to 5% in the Central Islands. Still the Northern Islands have a deficit by 200 mm; and the Central islands by 50 mm compared to the average annual cumulative rainfalls since 2003 of 1500 mm in the Northern and 1800 mm in Southern islands. 
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 ⁰C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the northern and central islands in the coming week. El Nino prediction models suggest of ENSO-neutral conditions for the coming months. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate heavy rainfall in the northern islands in the next week.     

The Northern and Southern islands received up to 300 mm rainfall and Central islands up to 150 mm in  August.

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI