Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – July 2018


Monitored: During July, Southern, some Central and Northern Islands received an excess of rainfall than is normal for the season by up to 90 mm. However, the Northern Islands which had been having a rainfall deficit in the last year is not fully recovered from the below normal rainfall.  The Central Islands have a slight excess of rainfall compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having a good year. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is near normal.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall is expected in the entire country on August 7th and 8th. On the 9th, up to 10 mm rainfall is expected in the northern islands. Up to 20 mm of rainfall is expected in the northern islands; and up to 10 mm in the southern islands on the 10th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country during August 5th -10th. 
Central islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall in July.

 Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI