Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – September 2017


Monitored: During September, the whole country received above average rainfall except for the Male atoll. The cumulative rainfall deficit over the last year compared to the average annual cumulative rainfalls since 2003 has been decreased to 6% in the Northern and to 5% in the Southern Islands. Still the Northern Islands have a deficit by 100 mm; and the Southern islands by 200 mm.  
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 0C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 70 mm of rainfall in the northern islands in the coming week. El Nino prediction models suggest of ENSO-neutral conditions for the coming months. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm in the next week.     

Northern and southern islands including Malaku atoll received up to 420 mm of rainfall in September.

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI