Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – November 2017


Monitored: During November, the Northern islands received below average rainfall and Central and Southern islands received above average rainfall. The cumulative rainfall deficit over the last year compared to the average annual cumulative rainfalls since 2003 has been increased to 10% in the Northern and decreased to 6% in the Central Islands. The Northern Islands have a deficit by 160 mm; and the Southern islands by 100 mm.  
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 0C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 130 mm of rainfall in the central islands on the 6th and up to 70 mm in the southern islands during 7-9. El Nino prediction models suggest of ENSO-neutral conditions for the coming months. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 100 mm in southern islands next week.       

Central and Southern islands received above average rainfall in November

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI