Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During November, the southern islands received above normal rainfall while the northern and central islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 14% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from November anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from November-February 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During October, the central islands received above-normal rainfall while the northern and Southern islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands by 33%.

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from November anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from November-February 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – October 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored:  During September, the northern and central islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 27% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 ⁰C  above normal. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across the Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.

 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2020

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored:  During September, the northern islands received above normal rainfall while the Southern half of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 50% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

 The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 ⁰C  above normal. 

Predictions: With weak La Nina conditions from October anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from October-December 2020. However, the seasonal temperature remains climatological – perhaps the La Nina influence is countervailed by the prevailing anomalously warm ocean.

 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – August 2020

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During August, the whole country received normal rainfall for the season. During the last 365 days, Northern islands: Excess of 400 mm from 1300 mm cumulative precipitation average.

Central islands: Excess of 400 mm from 1700 mm cumulative precipitation average

Southern islands: Excess of 350 mm from 1800 mm cumulative precipitation average.

The sea surface temperature around the Maldives is 1⁰ C above average. 

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in southern, central and northern islands on 29^th August; up to 40 mm of rainfall in southern and northern island on 30^th August; up to 40 mm of rainfall in northern islands on 31^st August, up to 40 mm of rainfall in northern, central and southern islands during 1^st -2^nd September. 

 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – July 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored:  During July, the northern islands received above-normal rainfall while the central and southern islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 45% in the Northern islands by 33%. 

The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1⁰ C above normal. 

Predictions: Between 27^th July – 1^st August, up to 70 mm rain is expected in the northern islands and no extreme rainfall for coming six days.

 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – June 2020

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored:  During June, the northern and southern islands received above normal rainfall while the central islands of Maldives received less. Over the 365 days, rainfall exceeded climatology by 25% in the Northern islands by 33%.

SST around Maldives is anomalously warm by 1⁰ C. 

Predictions: Between 24^th – 29^th June, up to 50 mm rain is expected in the northern and central islands and no extreme rainfall for coming six days. With weak La Niña condition from July anticipated, dry conditions are set to prevail across Maldives from July-September 2020.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – April 2020

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During March, the whole country received normal rainfall for the season. During last year the northern and southern Islands have an excess of 400 mm and the central Islands have an excess of 250 mm of rainfall. The sea surface temperature around Maldives was 1.5 ⁰C above normal. This is extremely warm.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts rainfall up to 20 mm of rainfall in the central islands and up to 10 mm in southern islands during 6^th-7^th April. From 8^th-10^th, daily rainfall up to 10 mm of is expected in the central islands  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the whole country next week. 
 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – March 2020

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During February, the whole country received normal rainfall for the season. During last year the northern and southern Islands have an excess of 400 mm and the central Islands have an excess of 350 mm of rainfall. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1.5 ⁰C above normal. This is extremely warm.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of daily rainfall in the entire country during 11^th-13^th March. On the 14^th, up to 20 mm of rainfall is expected in the central islands; and up to 10 mm in northern and southern islands.  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the whole country next week.  
 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2019

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During December, the northern islands received rainfall slightly above than is normal for the season. During last year the northern and central Islands have an excess of 250 mm and the southern Islands have an excess of 600 mm of rainfall. The sea surface temperature around The Maldives was 0.5 ⁰C above normal. 

Predictions: MD GFS model predicts up to 20 mm of daily in the central and southern islands and up to 10 mm in northern islands on January 4^th. On the 5^th and 6^th, daily rainfall up to 40 mm is expected in the southern islands; up to 20 mm in central islands; and up to 10 mm in northern islands. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the whole country next week.
 

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – January 2020

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During January, the whole country received normal rainfall for the season. During last year the northern and southern Islands have an excess of 400 mm and the central Islands have an excess of 300 mm of rainfall. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 ⁰C above normal. This is extremely warm.

Predictions: IMD GFS the model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the entire country on February 3^rd. On the 4^th, up to 40 mm of rainfall is expected in the northern islands; up to 10 mm in central and southern islands. On the 5^th, rainfall up to 10 mm of is expected in the whole country. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the whole country next week.  

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI