Wednesday, October 9, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During September, northern and central parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season; and southern islands received normal rainfall. The Southern Islands have an excess of 650 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Northern and Central Islands experiencing average rainfall. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm. 

Predictions: IMD GFS the model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the entire country on October 7th. On the 8th, rainfall up to 40 mm is expected in the central and southern islands and up to 10 mm in the northern islands. On the 9th, rainfall up to 20 mm is expected in the central and southern islands and up to 10 mm in the northern islands.  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the entire country next week.    


Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI