Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2023

                    

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In November, some of the northern and central islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. South-easterly winds prevailed during the month of November over the southern islands of MV. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire Maldives from January to March 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2023

                   

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In September, northern islands and some of the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the northern and central islands; and dry tendency for the southern islands from December to February 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – October 2023

HIGHLIGHTS

A strong El Niño developed in June 2023 with a strong positive Indian dipole since then. These conditions are highly likely to continue until March 2023.

Monitored: In September, northern islands and some of the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from November to January 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2023

             

HIGHLIGHTS

A strong El Niño developed in June 2023 with a strong positive Indian dipole since then. These conditions are highly likely to continue until March 2023.

Monitored: In August, southern islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from October to December 2023.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – August 2023

            

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In July, some of islands northern, central, and southern received light showers (10 mm). Westerly to north-westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: El Niño conditions have strengthened further and will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter.  Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from September to November 2023.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – July 2023

 

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In June, the northern and central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less. Westerly to north-westerly winds observed during the month.

Predictions: El Niño conditions are present and will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter.  Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from August to October 2023.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – June 2023

            

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In June, the majority of the northern islands and central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less. Westerly wind observed during the month. The southern islands had the lowest temperature, while the northern islands had the highest.

Predictions: Up to 40 mm of rainfall is predicted for the northern islands on July 6 and 7 this week. El Niño conditions are present and are expected to gradually strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2023-24. Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the northern islands; and near-neutral to dry tendency for central and southern islands from July to September 2023 for the Maldives.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – May 2023

           

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During April, the majority of the central islands and southern islands received up to 5 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less.

Predictions: A transition from ENSO-neutral is expected in the next couple of months, with a greater than 90% chance of El Niño persisting into the Northern Hemisphere winter. Seasonal climate predictions predict a dry and warmer tendency from June to August 2023 for the Maldives.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – April 2023

     

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During March, the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less. 

Predictions: ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring, followed by a 62% chance of El Niño developing during May-July 2023. Seasonal climate predictions predict a dry and warmer tendency from May to July 2023 for the Maldives.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – March 2023

    

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During February, the entire Maldives received less than 5 mm of rainfall. The average rainfall exceeded climatology in the central and southern islands by 29%; and was normal in the northern islands.

Predictions: La Niña has ended and ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue in the months ahead. Seasonal climate predictions predict a climatological average from April to June 2023 for the Maldives.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – February 2023

   

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During January, the entire Maldives received up to 5 mm, while some islands received less. The average rainfall exceeded climatology in the central and southern islands by 27%; and was in deficit by 2% in the northern islands.

Predictions: A transition from the level of a La Niña to ENSO-neutral state is expected in the months ahead. Seasonal climate predictions predict a climatological average from March to May 2023 for the Maldives.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI