Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – October 2018

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During October, central parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm; and most parts of southern islands and northern islands by up to 120 mm. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  Also, the Central Islands have a slight excess of rainfall compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having a good year. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is above 1 ⁰C normal. This is extremely warm. 
Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the southern islands; up to 20 mm in central islands; and up to 10 mm in northern islands on November 11th, 12th and 13th. On the 14th, up to 20 mm of rainfall is expected in central islands and up to 10 mm in northern and southern islands. Long Range Weather prediction simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for central islands during November 9th -14th. 

Central islands received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm.

 Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI