Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – September 2016


Monitored: Up to 250 mm and 200 mm rainfall was received by central and southern islands respectively at the beginning of September 2016. Thereafter dry conditions were seen throughout the Maldives. No rainfall was seen in any part of the country after the 19th of September. The cumulative rainfall of the past 365 days remains above average due to previous high rainfalls. The sea surface temperature around Maldives and Sri Lanka is up to 10C below the seasonal average. Predictions: IRI seasonal prediction predicts 50% chance of having below average rainfall until the end of 2016. Some El Nino prediction models suggest of weak La Niña conditions as the Pacific SST anomaly is close to -0.50C. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations do not expect heavy rainfall in the next week.
Central islands received more than 200 mm rainfall in August

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI