Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – August 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored:  During August, northern and southern parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season; and central islands received below normal rainfall. The Southern Islands have an excess of 400 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Northern Islands are having a deficit of 375 mm and Central islands a deficit of 200 mm. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 0.5 0C above normal. 


Predictions:  IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of daily rainfall in the northern and central islands during September 3rd - 7th. On the 8th, rainfall up to 10 mm is expected in the entire country. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country next week.
Total Six-Day Precipitation Forecast



Printable Version of the Report Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – July 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During July, southern parts of the country received rainfall below than is normal for the season by more than 50 mm; and central and southern islands received normal rainfall. The northern islands recorded the second-highest rainfall for the period in the past six years. The Southern Islands have an excess of 500 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Northern Islands are having a deficit of 400 mm and Central islands a deficit of 100 mm. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm.


Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of daily rainfall in the entire country during August 4th - 6th. On the 7th and 8th, rainfall up to 20 mm is expected in the northern islands and up to 10 mm in the rest of the country.  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country next week.

Weekly Rainfall Forecast by IMD GFS daily



 Printable Version of the Report Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, July 9, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – June 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During July, southern parts of the country received rainfall below than is normal for the season by more than 50 mm; and central and southern islands received normal rainfall. The northern islands recorded the second-highest rainfall for the period in the past six years. The Southern Islands have an excess of 500 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Northern Islands are having a deficit of 400 mm and Central islands a deficit of 100 mm. The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm.


Predictions:  IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the entire country on July 9th. On the 10th, rainfall up to 20 mm is expected in the whole country. On the 11th, rainfall up to 10 mm of is expected in the central and southern islands. On the 12th, rainfall up to 40 mm is expected in the southern islands and up to 20 mm in the central islands  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country next week.




 Printable Version of the Report Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, June 17, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – May 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During May, northern parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 100 mm; and central and southern islands received normal rainfall. The southern islands recorded the highest rainfall for the period in the past six years. The sea surface temperature around Maldives was 1°C above normal. This is extremely warm.


Predictions:  IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the northern and central islands on June 17th. On the 18th, rainfall up to 20 mm is expected in central islands and up to 10 mm in the southern and northern islands. On the 19th, rainfall up to 20 mm of is expected in the northern and central islands and up to 10 mm in the southern islands.  Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country next week.

 Northern islands received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 100 mm



 Printable Version of the Report Part 1 (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, May 27, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – April 2019



HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During April, northern parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 100 mm; and central and southern islands received normal rainfall. The northern islands received up to 300 mm of total rainfall; and central and southern islands up to 210 mm.  The sea surface temperature around the Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm.

Predictions: 
IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the central islands and up to 20 mm in the southern and northern islands on May 27th. On the 28th, rainfall up to 70 mm is expected in central islands and up to 40 mm in the southern and northern islands. On the 29th, rainfall up to 40 mm of is expected in the southern islands and up to 20 mm in the central and northern islands. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the central parts of the country next week.    
   










Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, April 29, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – March 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During March, the southern islands received up to 150 mm of total rainfall; central islands up to 60 mm; and northern islands up to 30 mm. The sea surface temperature around Maldives was 1 0C above normal. This is extremely warm.  

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 20 mm of rainfall in the northern and central islands and up to 10 mm in the southern islands on April 30th. On May 1st rainfall up to 40 mm is expected in the southern islands and up to 10 mm in the northern and central islands. On the 2nd, rainfall up to 20 mm of is expected in the northern and southern islands and up to 10 mm in the central islands. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the northern parts of the country next week.       

In March, the southern islands received up to 150 mm of total rainfall






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Sunday, March 3, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – February 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During February, northern and central islands received normal rainfall for the season; and southern islands received above than normal. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit of 400 mm in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  The Central Islands are experiencing normal rainfall, while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 380 mm.  The sea surface temperature around Maldives was 0.5 0C above normal.  

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the central and southern islands on March 4th, 5th and 6th. On the 7th and 8th daily rainfall up to 10 mm is expected in the entire country Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the whole country next week.    

In February, the southern islands received up to 300 mm of total rainfall







 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI