Sunday, March 3, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – February 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During February, northern and central islands received normal rainfall for the season; and southern islands received above than normal. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit of 400 mm in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  The Central Islands are experiencing normal rainfall, while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 380 mm.  The sea surface temperature around Maldives was 0.5 0C above normal.  

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the central and southern islands on March 4th, 5th and 6th. On the 7th and 8th daily rainfall up to 10 mm is expected in the entire country Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the whole country next week.    

In February, the southern islands received up to 300 mm of total rainfall







 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Tuesday, February 5, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – January 2019


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During January, northern and central islands received rainfall slightly below than is normal for the season; and southern islands received above than normal. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit of 450 mm in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  The Central Islands also have an deficit of 50 mm, while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 350 mm. The sea surface temperature around southern Maldives was 0.5 0C above normal.  

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall in the northern islands on February 4th. On the 5th and 6th daily rainfall up to 10 mm is expected in the entire country. On the 7th and 8th, daily rainfall up to 20 mm of is expected in the northern islands; and up to 10 mm in central and southern islands. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the whole country next week.    

In January, the southern islands received up to 210 mm of total rainfall






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, January 18, 2019

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – December 2018


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During December, northern islands received rainfall slightly above than is normal for the season; and central and southern islands received below than normal. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit in the last year compared to normal rainfall, that increased up to 450 mm during December.  The Central Islands have an excess of 100 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 350 mm. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is normal.  
Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the central islands; up to 10 mm in southern islands on January 16th. On the 17th up to 70 mm of rainfall is expected in central islands and up to 40 mm in northern islands. On the 18th, up to 130 mm of is expected in the central and southern islands. 
In December, the northern and southern islands received up to 180 mm of total rainfall






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, December 7, 2018

Record rainfall in Maldives capital


Original Article - Link

Floodwaters caused damages in 117 homes and 20 people were evacuated. 


More than 100 homes needed assistance and two families were evacuated Wednesday as a torrential downpour flooded the streets of the capital.
The 223.5 millimetres of rain from 8am to 8pm was a record for the capital island, according to the Maldives Meteorological Services.
The previous record was 200 millimetres on December 11, 1998. The national record was 228.4 millimetres on the southernmost island of Gan on November 24, 2015.
The record rainfall in Malé caused flooding as many roads were inundated with up to two feet of water.
Soldiers and police officers were deployed to set up sandbags and operate pump stations. Volunteers from the local Red Crescent as well as scouts and girl guides joined the relief efforts along with staff from the city council and other offices.
Floodwaters caused damages in 117 homes and the National Disaster Management Centre helped relocate 20 people from two residences. Food and accommodation were arranged for the 11 adults and nine children at the Beehive Hotel.

Monday, December 3, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – November 2018


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During November, most parts of the country received rainfall below than is normal for the season by up to 120 mm. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit in the last year compared to normal rainfall, that increased up to 300 mm during November.  The Central Islands have an excess of 250 mm of rainfall during last year compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having an excess of 400 mm. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is above  0.5 0C normal. 
Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the southern islands; up to 10 mm in northern and central islands on December 3rd and 4th. On the 5th and 6th up to 40 mm of rainfall is expected in southern islands and up to 10 mm in northern islands. Long Range Weather prediction simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 100 mm for central islands during December 1st-6th. 
In November, the southern islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall.






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – October 2018


HIGHLIGHTS


Monitored: During October, central parts of the country received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm; and most parts of southern islands and northern islands by up to 120 mm. The Northern Islands have been having a rainfall deficit in the last year compared to normal rainfall.  Also, the Central Islands have a slight excess of rainfall compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having a good year. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is above 1 0C normal. This is extremely warm. 
Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the southern islands; up to 20 mm in central islands; and up to 10 mm in northern islands on November 11th, 12th and 13th. On the 14th, up to 20 mm of rainfall is expected in central islands and up to 10 mm in northern and southern islands. Long Range Weather prediction simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for central islands during November 9th -14th. 
Central islands received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm.






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – September 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Extremely High Rainfall is forecasts for the North and Central Islands for the 1-6th October.
Monitored: 
During September, Southern Islands received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm; and Northern and Central islands received below normal rainfall. The cumulative rainfall for the last 365 days shows a 500 mm deficit for the Northern islands; 50 mm deficit for the Central islands; and an excess of 400 mm for the Southern Islands when compared to the past average.   The sea surface temperature around southern Maldives is below  0.5 0C normal.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 70 mm of rainfall in northern islands; and up to 10 mm in central and southern islands during October 3rd - 6th. On the 7th, up to 70 mm rainfall is expected in the northern islands; up to 40 mm in the central islands; and up to 10 mm in the southern islands. Long Range Weather prediction simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 300 mm for the northern and central during October 1st -6th. 
Southern islands received rainfall above than is normal for the season by more than 240 mm.






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI