Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – July 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During July, Southern, some Central and Northern Islands received an excess of rainfall than is normal for the season by up to 90 mm. However, the Northern Islands which had been having a rainfall deficit in the last year is not fully recovered from the below normal rainfall.  The Central Islands have a slight excess of rainfall compared to the average while the Southern Islands are having a good year. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is near normal.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 10 mm of rainfall is expected in the entire country on August 7th and 8th. On the 9th, up to 10 mm rainfall is expected in the northern islands. Up to 20 mm of rainfall is expected in the northern islands; and up to 10 mm in the southern islands on the 10th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 25 mm for the entire country during August 5th -10th. 
Central islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall in July.






 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – June 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During June, Southern, Central and some Northern Islands received an excess of rainfall than is normal for the season by up to 120 mm. However, the Northern Islands which had been having a rainfall deficit in the last year is not fully recovered from the below normal rainfall.  The Central Islands have a 100 mm of deficit of rainfall while the Southern Islands are having a good year.   The sea surface temperature around Maldives is near normal with seas around Southern Islands seeing an anomaly of 0.5 0C above average.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of daily rain is expected in northern islands; up to 20 mm in central islands; and up to 10 mm in the southern islands on July 11th. Up to 40 mm of daily rainfall is expected in the southern islands on the 15th and 16th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the northern islands during July 9th -14th. 
Central islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall in June. 




 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, June 8, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – May 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During May, some Northern and Central Islands received an excess of rainfall than is normal for the season by upto0 180 mm. However the Northern Islands which had been having a rainfall deficit in the last year is not fully recovered from the below normal rainfall.  The Central Islands have made up for the deficit while the Southern Islands are having a good year.
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is average.   

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rainfall in the northern islands; and up to 10 mm in the central and southern islands on the 11th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the central islands during June 4th-9th. 



Northern islands received up to 600 mm of total rainfall in May
 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, May 4, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – April 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During April, The northern islands received up to 150 mm of total rainfall; central and southern islands up to 450 mm. The cumulative rainfall for the last 365 days shows a significant deficit for the northern islands and an excess for the Southern Islands.
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is Normal.

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of daily rain is expected in southern and up to 10 mm in the northern and central islands during May 3rd-4th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 75 mm for the central and southern islands during April 30th- May 5th. May is a month with a history of turbulent weather in the Maldives with the risks being enhanced by the MJO signal being in phase 2. 



Central and southern islands received up to 450 mm of total rainfall in April. 
 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Monday, April 9, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – March 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During March, Addu atoll received rainfall up to 60 mm above the monthly average; and rest of the country up to 90 mm below the average. The northern islands received up to 50 mm of total rainfall; central up to 90 mm; and southern islands up to 180 mm.  
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 0C above average. 

Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 20 mm of daily rain is expected in central and up to 10 mm in the northern and southern islands during April 10th-13th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the central islands during April 8th-13th. 




Addu atoll received rainfall up to 60 mm above the monthly average during March
 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – February 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During January, Central islands received average rainfall, Northern islands received slightly less than average and southern island of 50 mm above the monthly average. The Northern islands received up to 60 mm of total rainfall; central islands up to 300 mm; and southern islands up to 180 mm during this period. The cumulative rainfall for the last 365 days shows a significant deficit for the Northern islands and an excess for the Southern Islands
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 1 0C above average. This is extremely warm.


Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 40 mm of rain on March 7th and 8th in the central and southern islands. Up to 70 mm of rainfall is expected in the northern islands on 11th and 12th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for central and southern islands during 5-10 March.



Central islands received up to 300 mm of total rainfall in February

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI

Friday, February 23, 2018

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – January 2018


HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During January, Northern and Central islands received average rainfall compared to the monthly average since 2003; and southern island of 140 mm below the monthly average. The central islands received up to 200 mm of total rainfall; and northern and southern islands up to 90 mm. 
The sea surface temperature around Maldives is 0.5 0C below average.


Predictions: IMD GFS model predicts up to 20 mm of rain on February 25th in the northern islands. Up to 10 mm of rainfall is expected in the entire country country on 26th and 27th. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations anticipate total rainfall up to 50 mm for the whole country next week.   



Central islands received up to 200 mm of total rainfall in January

 Printable Version of the Full Report (PDF)


---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI