Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – March 2024

                       

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In February, central islands received up to 15 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of January over the Maldives. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with increasing odds of La Niña developing in June-August. Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet condition for the Maldives from April to June 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – February 2024

                      

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In January, central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of January over the northern and central islands of MV. 

Predictions: A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024, with increasing odds of La Niña developing in June-August. Seasonal climate predictions predict a dry condition in the southern islands and a near-normal tendency for the remaining islands from March to May 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – January 2024

                     

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In December, central and southern islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. North-easterly winds prevailed during the month of December over the northern islands of MV. 

Predictions: Continuation of the El Niño condition can be expected until March 2024 and shall weaken to ENSO-neutral thereafter. Seasonal climate predictions predict a near-normal tendency for the entire Maldives from February to April 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – December 2023

                    

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In November, some of the northern and central islands received up to 20 mm of rainfall, while remaining islands received less. South-easterly winds prevailed during the month of November over the southern islands of MV. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire Maldives from January to March 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2023

                   

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: In September, northern islands and some of the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the northern and central islands; and dry tendency for the southern islands from December to February 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – October 2023

HIGHLIGHTS

A strong El Niño developed in June 2023 with a strong positive Indian dipole since then. These conditions are highly likely to continue until March 2023.

Monitored: In September, northern islands and some of the central islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from November to January 2024.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI
   

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – September 2023

             

HIGHLIGHTS

A strong El Niño developed in June 2023 with a strong positive Indian dipole since then. These conditions are highly likely to continue until March 2023.

Monitored: In August, southern islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall, while other islands received less. North westerly winds prevailed during the month. 

Predictions: Seasonal climate predictions predict a wet tendency for the entire islands from October to December 2023.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI