Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – November 2025

             

HIGHLIGHTS

During 19^th – 21^st December, northern and central islands are expected to receive very heavy rainfall (130 – 200 mm). Despite the influence of Cyclone Ditwah, Maldives did not experience heavy rainfall during 26^th – 29^th November. Highest daily rainfall during this period was in the central islands on 25^th November (100 mm).  Sea surface temperature (SST) around northern and central islands remain warmer than usual. Winds are mainly coming from the northwest across the country. 

Monitored: In November, the central islands received up to 12 mm of rainfall and the remaining islands received less. North-Westerly winds prevailed for the Maldives during the month of November. 

Predictions:  La Niña is favored to continue for the next month or two, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-march 2026 (68% chance).

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI