Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – July 2025

         

HIGHLIGHTS

In July, the northern islands received the highest rainfall, up to 40 mm per day. The maximum temperature of 33°C was recorded in the central islands.  North-westerly winds prevailed over the northern and central islands, while westerly winds dominated in the southern islands. Sea surface temperatures (SST) in the eastern Pacific Ocean are expected to remain near-neutral this summer.

Monitored: In June, the northern and southern islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall; while remaining islands received less. North-Westerly winds prevailed for the northern and central islands; while Westerly winds prevailed for the southern islands of the Maldives during the month of June.  

Predictions: ENSO-neutral is most likely through the late Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (56% chance in August-October). Thereafter, chances of La Niña conditions increase into the fall and winter 2025-26, but remain comparable to ENSO-neutral.

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI