Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives – February 2017

HIGHLIGHTS

Monitored: During February, the whole country received climatological rainfall. When the cumulative rainfall over the last 365 days is considered, the Northern Islands have a deficit by 400 mm compared to the average annual cumulative rainfall since 2003 of 1500 mm. An increase in rainfall was observed in the southern islands during the mid-weeks of February. The sea surface temperature around Maldives is climatological. 

Predictions: IRI seasonal prediction predicts average rainfall for Maldives until June. El Nino prediction models suggest of ENSO-neutral conditions. Long Range Weather prediction models simulations do not anticipate heavy rainfall in the next week.

Central islands received up to 150 mm rainfall in February.

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---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

1. Monthly Climatology
2. Rainfall Monitoring
1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
   
2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
4. Rainfall Predictions
1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI