HIGHLIGHTS
After a relatively dry January, February and March some rainfall was observed in the first two weeks of
April. This is the highest observed rainfall this year in the entire country. This rainfall coincided with the
atmospheric phenomenon known as Madden Julian Oscillation being strong and in phase 3 (and over the
Indian Ocean) which is usually associated with higher rainfall over Maldives. But as the MJO transited to
phase 5 over the Pacific in the previous week (11
th
onwards) was once again dry. The NOAA CFS long
range weather prediction models predict dry conditions in the next week as well. Usually in April relatively
high rainfall can be observed (about 200 mm- 400 mm monthly). Moderate El Nino conditions have set in
and as is typical there is warmer than usual seas around the Maldives. The rainfall in a typical El Nino
episode over Maldives is lower than usual in Northern and Central Maldives until mid-September.
---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------
- Monthly Climatology
- Rainfall Monitoring
- Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
- Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
- Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
- Ocean Surface Monitoring
- Rainfall Predictions
- Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
- Seasonal Predictions from IRI