Sunday, August 31, 2025

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – August 2025

          

HIGHLIGHTS

During the last two weeks of August, the southern islands recorded the highest rainfall, reaching up to 40 mm per day, while the other islands received comparatively less. Northwesterly winds prevailed over the Maldives during July. Sea surface temperatures (SST) in the eastern Pacific Ocean are expected to be cooler within the next three months.

Monitored: In July, the northern islands received up to 10 mm of rainfall; while remaining islands received less. North-Westerly winds prevailed for the Maldives during the month of July.   

Predictions: ENSO-neutral is most likely through the late Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (56% chance in August-October). Thereafter, a brief period of La Niña conditions is favored in the fall and early winter 2025-26 before reverting to ENSO-neutral.
Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI