Monday, June 30, 2025

Experimental Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives – June 2025

        

HIGHLIGHTS

During the last two weeks of June, the northern islands experienced the highest rainfall, reaching up to 50 mm per day, while remaining islands received less. ENSO-neutral state is likely in the summer 2025.

Monitored: In May, the northern and southern islands received up to 12 mm of rainfall; while remaining islands received less. Westerly winds prevailed for the Maldives during the month of May.   

Predictions: ENSO-neutral is likely in the Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (82% chance in June-August) and may continue into winter 2025-26. though confidence is lower (48% chance of Neutral and 41% chance of La Niña in November-January).

Printable Text Summary Part 1 (PDF)

---------------------------Inside this Issue------------------------

  1. Monthly Climatology
  2. Rainfall Monitoring
    1. Daily Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates
    2. Monthly Rainfall derived from Satellite Rainfall Estimate
    3. Monthly and Seasonal Monitoring
  3. Ocean Surface Monitoring
  4. Rainfall Predictions
    1. Weekly Predictions from NOAA/NCEP
    2. Seasonal Predictions from IRI